Domino Effect of US vs. Iran Conflict: Could It Trigger a Global Conflict?

By Aditya Hasiholan Purba

13 Mar 2026 16:03 WIB 13 March 2026 16:03 WIB 3 minutes reading time: 3 minutes 8 read

Opinion: Could the impact of the US-Iran conflict trigger a global war? Analysis of the domino effect of the death of Iranian leaders and the potential for a multidimensional crisis.

Ilustrasi perang Iran Vs US (Source: AI)

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Section 2/2: Domino Effect

Domino Effect

This domino effect will soon spread through the mobilization of proxies throughout the Middle East. From Lebanon to Yemen, and Iraq to Syria, groups such as Hezbollah and the Houthis are certain to activate their combat cells simultaneously. In my opinion, this counterattack will not be limited to United States military bases alone, but will target the world's economic weak points in the Gulf, such as oil refineries and international ports. This will turn the region into a battlefield without a clear front line, trapping the world in a vortex of absolute chaos.

This military step will then trigger an economic domino that paralyzes the pulse of global life. With Iran holding the key to the Strait of Hormuz a passage for almost 20% of the world's crude oil supply a blockade or open war in this region will make energy prices soar dramatically, perhaps exceeding 150 dollars per barrel in a matter of days. I argue that this surge will trigger extreme inflation that will not only hit developed countries, but also cripple the purchasing power of people in developing countries like Indonesia. Stock market panic and the flight of capital to safe assets will become a daily sight, marking the collapse of the financial stability that we have painstakingly built.

Finally, this crisis will force a very dangerous polarization of major powers. Washington's unilateral attack will encourage Russia and China to take a firm stance to protect their strategic interests and energy access. I see a real risk where this conflict could drag nuclear powers into direct confrontation, either through large-scale cyber warfare or military tensions on the high seas. This is no longer just a war between two countries, but a real threat to the entire international security order.

Personally, I believe that the United States' attack on Iran which resulted in the death of its highest leader is a step with no return. The domino effect it causes proves that in an interconnected world, no bomb falls in one place without its vibrations damaging the entire earth. This crisis is no longer about who wins militarily, but about a big bet on the existence of economic civilization and global peace. Now, we can only hope that there is still a narrow gap for common sense before all the pieces of the domino of peace really collapse.